Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.061301 0.072823 0.085763 0.101350 0.119595 0.140253 0.165395
2025-03-23 0.044504 0.059550 0.078391 0.103619 0.136410 0.177476 0.232681
2025-03-30 0.033731 0.049586 0.071207 0.102640 0.146925 0.206804 0.293569
2025-04-06 0.026295 0.041849 0.064636 0.100113 0.153534 0.230451 0.348912
2025-04-13 0.020830 0.035567 0.058567 0.096590 0.157257 0.249475 0.399138
2025-04-20 0.017845 0.032427 0.056488 0.098410 0.168749 0.280802 0.471038
2025-04-27 0.015317 0.029488 0.054103 0.099113 0.178187 0.309641 0.542100
2025-05-04 0.013252 0.026929 0.051857 0.099529 0.186917 0.338004 0.615345
2025-05-11 0.011703 0.025019 0.050398 0.101000 0.197476 0.370401 0.698889
2025-05-18 0.010658 0.023887 0.050169 0.104630 0.212285 0.411733 0.802639
2025-05-25 0.009042 0.021269 0.046616 0.101237 0.213236 0.427772 0.861684
2025-06-01 0.007997 0.019680 0.044874 0.101170 0.220571 0.456398 0.947311
2025-06-08 0.006948 0.017910 0.042523 0.099598 0.224874 0.480103 1.027071
2025-06-15 0.006346 0.017079 0.042101 0.102143 0.238162 0.523273 1.150746
2025-06-22 0.005592 0.015727 0.040271 0.101241 0.243830 0.551378 1.246500
2025-06-29 0.004853 0.014261 0.037924 0.098760 0.245584 0.571312 1.327043
2025-07-06 0.004168 0.012797 0.035336 0.095285 0.244531 0.584923 1.395204
2025-07-13 0.003828 0.012225 0.034904 0.097081 0.256195 0.628079 1.533571
2025-07-20 0.003478 0.011549 0.034092 0.097776 0.265238 0.666184 1.664385
2025-07-27 0.003156 0.010893 0.033223 0.098187 0.273610 0.703583 1.797415
2025-08-03 0.002907 0.010412 0.032763 0.099639 0.284841 0.748997 1.954163
2025-08-10 0.002752 0.010202 0.033051 0.103222 0.302155 0.811086 2.157668
2025-08-17 0.002402 0.009265 0.031028 0.099872 0.300290 0.825083 2.243482